Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jack Suwinski

matchup for Zac Gallen

159th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Zac Gallen

matchup for Jack Suwinski

349th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Gallen

Jack Suwinski has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 0.8% higher than Suwinski's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Gallen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.8%	17.8%	3.0%	4.0%	10.9%	15.0%	38.1%
Suwinski	+0.8	-2.0	+0.1	-0.4	-1.7	+2.8	+6.4
Gallen	+0.1	-3.2	+0.1	-1.2	-2.2	+3.3	+7.9

Jack Suwinski is much better vs right-handed pitching. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Suwinski has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jack Suwinski has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Kn-Curve (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

14%

Cutter (R)

10%

22% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jack Suwinski has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

25% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jack Suwinski has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 25%

+16%

Extreme Drop 19%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+8%

18.1% of Jack Suwinski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% +3.5% 3%

Walk +2.1% -0.3% 43%

In Play -8.1% -3.2% 39%

On Base -2.1% -1.8% 31%

Hit -4.3% -1.5% 14%

Single -2.9% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -2.5% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.1% -0.1%

21.7% of Jack Suwinski's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.7% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen induces Standard Grounders at a 32.4% rate, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -12.7% -2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% +1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -4.9% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.3% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +3.1% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +4.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.6% +0.8% 3%

Pop up +4.2% -1.3%

32.6% of Jack Suwinski's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. 26.3% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% -0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.8% -1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.6% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.8% +0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +8.3% +2.0%

22.5% of Jack Suwinski's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 11.0% higher than the league average. 10.6% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.3% -0.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -5.0% +0.6% 8%

1 to 6° -0.6% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° -9.2% +1.0% 15%

19 to 28° +0.6% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° +11.0% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° +3.2% +1.1% 8%

Above 50° +6.4% -1.1%

Jack Suwinski has 12 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 12 with 3 doubles and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	12	4	0	3	1	5	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			3.87	0.91	1.76	1.20			0.323

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-26	Groundout			13%	86%
2024-07-26	Strikeout
2024-07-26	Strikeout
2023-07-07	Strikeout
2023-07-07	Single			77%	23%
2023-07-07	Strikeout
2023-05-19	Flyout		2%	1%	97%
2023-05-19	Strikeout
2023-05-19	Double		80%	15%	5%
2022-06-05	Groundout			6%	94%
2022-06-05	Double	91%	6%		2%
2022-06-05	Double		87%	7%	6%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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