Matchup Machine

Jack Suwinski

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matchup for Michael Wacha

197th out of 436 (Best 46%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Jack Suwinski

242nd out of 567 (Best 44%)

Leans in favor of Suwinski
2

Model Prediction

Jack Suwinski has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.4% higher than Suwinski's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%21.6%2.8%4.5%14.2%10.8%27.9%
Suwinski+0.4+1.80.0+0.2+1.7-1.4-3.8
Wacha+1.3-1.5+0.1-0.5-1.1+2.8+6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jack Suwinski is much better vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Suwinski has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Jack Suwinski has a C grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

18.1% of Jack Suwinski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% +0.4% 3%         Walk +2.1% -2.0% 43%         In Play -8.1% +1.5% 39%         On Base -2.1% -3.0% 31%         Hit -4.3% -1.0% 14%         Single -2.9% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years