Matchup Machine

Will Smith

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matchup for Zach Brzykcy

401st out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Zach Brzykcy

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matchup for Will Smith

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Smith
10

Model Prediction

Will Smith has a 40.0% chance of reaching base vs Zach Brzykcy, which is 5.1% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 5.1% higher than batters facing Brzykcy.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.0%21.2%3.2%5.9%12.1%18.8%17.9%
Smith+5.1+0.6+0.3+1.0-0.7+4.6-3.4
Brzykcy+5.1-2.2+0.1-0.2-2.2+7.3-3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Smith is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Zach Brzykcy is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Smith has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Brzykcy throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Will Smith has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Curve (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
21%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Will Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. Zach Brzykcy strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.9% -9.3% 3%         Walk +2.7% +2.7% 39%         In Play +2.2% +6.6% 39%         On Base -1.8% +16.4% 31%         Hit -4.5% +13.7% 14%         Single -3.4% +4.3% 13%         2B / 3B -2.6% +4.7% 3%         Home Run +1.5% +4.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years