Matchup Machine

Will Smith

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

361st out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for Will Smith

514th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Leans in favor of Gaddis
1

Model Prediction

Will Smith has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 4.6% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.3%17.8%3.3%4.1%10.3%12.5%25.6%
Smith-4.6-2.9+0.3-0.8-2.4-1.8+4.3
Gaddis+2.9-1.6+0.2-0.3-1.5+4.5-1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Smith is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Smith has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Will Smith has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Will Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.9% -0.6% 3%         Walk +2.7% -1.7% 39%         In Play +2.2% +2.4% 39%         On Base -1.8% -5.5% 31%         Hit -4.5% -3.8% 14%         Single -3.4% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B -2.6% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +1.5% +1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years