Matchup Machine

Will Smith

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matchup for Chase Silseth

338th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Chase Silseth

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matchup for Will Smith

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Smith
4

Model Prediction

Will Smith has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Chase Silseth, which is 0.0% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Silseth.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.8%18.4%2.7%3.6%12.1%16.4%26.9%
Smith0.0-2.2-0.2-1.3-0.7+2.2+5.6
Silseth+2.6-2.20.0-0.4-1.8+4.8-1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Smith is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Chase Silseth is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Smith has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chase Silseth throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Will Smith has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Will Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. Chase Silseth strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.9% +5.2% 3%         Walk +2.7% +4.8% 39%         In Play +2.2% -10.0% 39%         On Base -1.8% -0.6% 31%         Hit -4.5% -5.4% 14%         Single -3.4% -3.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.6% -2.8% 3%         Home Run +1.5% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years