matchup for M. Rodriguez
matchup for Will Smith
4
Will Smith has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 0.2% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 3.8% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 34.8% | 20.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 21.8% |
| Smith | -0.2 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.7 | +0.7 | +0.6 | +0.5 |
| Rodriguez | +3.8 | -0.7 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.4 | +4.5 | -3.2 |
Will Smith is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Smith has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Will Smith has a C- grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
39%
Sinker (R)
38%
4-Seam (R)
23%
14% of Manuel Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Will Smith has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
14%
+5%
Non-Competitive
15%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Mid Challenge
11%
0%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
Fringe Miss
10%
-2%
Meatball
1%
-5%
36% of Manuel Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Will Smith has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
36%
+28%
Small Break
24%
+13%
Large Drop
15%
+10%
Breaking (R)
39%
+8%
11.8% of Will Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 17.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-4.8%
0.0%
3%
Walk
+2.8%
-0.9%
39%
In Play
+1.9%
+1.0%
39%
On Base
-1.1%
-4.0%
31%
Hit
-3.9%
-3.1%
14%
Single
-3.0%
-1.3%
13%
2B / 3B
-2.3%
-0.9%
3%
Home Run
+1.4%
-0.8%
27.8% of Will Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.6% lower than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 42.7% rate, which is 8.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.5%
+0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-6.6%
+8.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.6%
+0.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.8%
+6.6%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.1%
-0.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.1%
-3.8%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.1%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
-0.1%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
+8.1%
-7.8%
3%
Pop up
-0.6%
-1.6%
23.0% of Will Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 25.0% of batted balls allowed by Manuel Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-3.5%
+5.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.3%
+3.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.0%
-2.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+6.1%
-7.3%
24%
Above 100 mph
-1.3%
+0.7%
16.8% of Will Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.3% higher than the league average. 11.0% of batted balls allowed by Manuel Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-4.4%
+2.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.1%
+6.5%
8%
1 to 6°
-2.1%
+0.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.9%
-2.0%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.1%
-3.5%
11%
29 to 38°
+5.3%
-0.4%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.1%
-1.7%
8%
Above 50°
+1.8%
-1.9%
Will Smith has 2 plate appearances against Manuel Rodriguez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-24 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-08-23 | Hit By Pitch | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
