Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Will Smith

matchup for John Means

341st out of 436 (Worst 22%)

John Means

matchup for Will Smith

254th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Strong advantage for Smith

Will Smith has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 2.4% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Means.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.5%	22.3%	3.5%	6.4%	12.4%	10.2%	16.5%
Smith	-2.4	+1.7	+0.6	+1.5	-0.4	-4.1	-4.8
Means	+1.5	-1.7	+0.1	-0.1	-1.7	+3.3	-4.5

Will Smith is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Smith has a C grade vs this particular release point.

John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Will Smith has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Changeup (L)

28%

Slider (L)

12%

Curve (L)

11%

9% of John Means's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Will Smith has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 3%

-6%

31% of John Means's pitches are classified as Extreme Ride, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Will Smith has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Ride 31%

+27%

Medium Break 40%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 28%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

11.7% of Will Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.9% -0.2% 3%

Walk +2.7% -2.7% 39%

In Play +2.2% +2.9% 39%

On Base -1.8% -4.8% 31%

Hit -4.5% -2.0% 14%

Single -3.4% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.6% -1.1% 3%

Home Run +1.5% +0.5%

27.8% of Will Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. John Means induces Standard Grounders at a 23.3% rate, which is 11.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% -11.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -0.8% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.2% +0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.1% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.1% 0.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.1% +5.9% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +4.8%

23.0% of Will Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.6% -0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.2% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.0% -3.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +6.1% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.3% +2.4%

16.7% of Will Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.3% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%