Matchup Machine

Will Smith

sometext

matchup for Tyler Anderson

405th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

sometext

Tyler Anderson

sometext

matchup for Will Smith

108th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Extreme advantage for Smith
10

Model Prediction

Will Smith has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.7% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 4.9% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.6%20.4%2.8%5.5%12.2%18.2%16.5%
Smith+3.7-0.2-0.2+0.5-0.6+4.0-4.8
Anderson+4.9-1.9-0.2+0.2-1.9+6.8-5.1

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Will Smith is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Smith has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Will Smith has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Will Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.9% -1.9% 3%         Walk +2.7% -1.0% 39%         In Play +2.2% +2.9% 39%         On Base -1.8% -0.1% 31%         Hit -4.5% +0.9% 14%         Single -3.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.6% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.5% -0.2%

History

Will Smith has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.900.000.010.890.448
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-07Single74%26%
2023-07-07Groundout15%85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.