Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Justyn-Henry Malloy

matchup for Logan Webb

20th out of 436 (Best 5%)

Logan Webb

matchup for J. Malloy

341st out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Strong advantage for Webb

Justyn-Henry Malloy has a 28.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.6% lower than Malloy's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.0%	18.6%	2.2%	4.2%	12.2%	9.4%	32.0%
Malloy	-0.6	+1.0	-0.8	+0.1	+1.7	-1.6	-3.0
Webb	-4.2	-6.1	-0.2	-1.0	-5.0	+2.0	+10.0

Justyn-Henry Malloy is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Malloy doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Justyn-Henry Malloy hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Justyn-Henry Malloy hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Justyn-Henry Malloy hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

27.7% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.9% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout +11.9% -0.8% 5%

Walk +2.2% -2.4% 54%

In Play -14.1% +3.2% 39%

On Base -4.8% +1.6% 31%

Hit -7.0% +4.0% 14%

Single -3.9% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -3.5% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.4% -1.3%

33.0% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.5% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +5.2% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.3% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.7% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.8% -7.2% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -1.4%

13.6% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.7% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +10.1% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.7% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +5.1% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.7% +3.6%

11.0% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -10.1% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° +1.0% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° +4.4% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +2.2% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -0.5% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +4.5% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +0.7% -5.1%

Justyn-Henry Malloy has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	1	0	2	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.84	0.26	0.58	0.01			0.281

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-10	Strikeout
2024-08-10	Strikeout
2024-08-10	Double	26%	58%	1%	16%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe