Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Justyn-Henry Malloy

matchup for Pablo Lopez

23rd out of 436 (Best 6%)

Pablo Lopez

matchup for J. Malloy

401st out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Strong advantage for Lopez

Justyn-Henry Malloy has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 1.3% lower than Malloy's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Lopez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.3%	18.6%	2.2%	3.9%	12.5%	8.7%	35.6%
Malloy	-1.3	+1.0	-0.8	-0.2	+2.0	-2.3	+0.6
Lopez	-3.3	-5.1	-0.4	-0.6	-4.1	+1.8	+10.0

Justyn-Henry Malloy is worse vs right-handed pitching. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Malloy does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Justyn-Henry Malloy has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

25%

Slider (R)

13%

Curve (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

8% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Justyn-Henry Malloy hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

25% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Justyn-Henry Malloy hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 25%

+14%

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

27.7% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.9% higher than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout +11.9% +4.2% 5%

Walk +2.2% -2.5% 54%

In Play -14.1% -1.7% 39%

On Base -4.8% -1.8% 31%

Hit -7.0% +0.7% 14%

Single -3.9% +0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -3.5% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +0.4% -0.4%

33.0% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.8% rate, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.5% +4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer +5.2% +1.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.3% -0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.7% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.8% -1.7% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -0.2%

13.6% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.7% lower than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +10.1% +4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.7% -0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +5.1% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.7% -1.3%

11.0% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -10.1% +3.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° +1.0% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +4.4% -1.8% 15%

19 to 28° +2.2% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° -0.5% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +4.5% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.7% -0.5%

Justyn-Henry Malloy has 3 plate appearances against Pablo Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00			0.004

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-26	Flyout		1%		99%
2024-07-26	Strikeout
2024-07-26	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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