Matchup Machine

Justyn-Henry Malloy

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

84th out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for J. Malloy

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Malloy
4

Model Prediction

Justyn-Henry Malloy has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 3.5% higher than Malloy's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%20.6%3.5%5.4%11.7%11.5%25.6%
Malloy+3.5+3.0+0.5+1.3+1.2+0.5-9.3
Lyles-1.6-3.6+0.2-0.4-3.3+2.0+7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Justyn-Henry Malloy is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Malloy has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Justyn-Henry Malloy has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

27.7% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.9% higher than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +11.9% +0.8% 5%         Walk +2.2% -2.3% 54%         In Play -14.1% +1.5% 39%         On Base -4.8% -4.1% 31%         Hit -7.0% -1.7% 14%         Single -3.9% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years