Matchup Machine

Justyn-Henry Malloy

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

124th out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for J. Malloy

79th out of 567 (Best 15%)

Moderate advantage for Malloy
3

Model Prediction

Justyn-Henry Malloy has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 4.8% higher than Malloy's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%18.1%3.0%4.5%10.5%15.4%29.5%
Malloy+4.8+0.5+0.1+0.4+0.0+4.4-5.5
Anderson-0.3-4.2+0.1-0.7-3.6+3.9+7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Justyn-Henry Malloy is better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Malloy doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Justyn-Henry Malloy hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

27.7% of Justyn-Henry Malloy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.9% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +11.9% -1.9% 5%         Walk +2.2% -1.0% 54%         In Play -14.1% +2.9% 39%         On Base -4.8% -0.1% 31%         Hit -7.0% +0.9% 14%         Single -3.9% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.2%

History

Justyn-Henry Malloy has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222101001.000
Expected From Contact →1.200.200.120.890.602
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-30Single7%89%4%
2024-06-30Home Run20%4%76%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.