Matchup Machine

Austin Wells

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matchup for Taj Bradley

245th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Taj Bradley

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matchup for Austin Wells

306th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Bradley
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Model Prediction

Austin Wells has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.1% higher than Wells's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Bradley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%21.2%3.6%5.6%12.0%8.9%32.3%
Wells+0.1+0.9+0.3+0.4+0.2-0.8+3.6
Bradley-0.6-1.4+1.0+0.8-3.1+0.8+5.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Wells is much better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wells has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Austin Wells has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

14.5% of Austin Wells's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.2% +3.2% 3%         Walk +2.6% +0.4% 41%         In Play -2.5% -3.5% 39%         On Base -0.8% -1.3% 31%         Hit -3.4% -1.6% 14%         Single -2.8% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +1.2%

History

Austin Wells has 3 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.310.000.000.310.105
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-20Strikeout
2024-07-20Strikeout
2024-07-20GIDP31%69%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.