Austin Wells has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.1% higher than Wells's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Bradley.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 30.1% | 21.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 32.3% |
Wells | +0.1 | +0.9 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +3.6 |
Bradley | -0.6 | -1.4 | +1.0 | +0.8 | -3.1 | +0.8 | +5.9 |
Austin Wells is much better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wells has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Austin Wells has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
14.5% of Austin Wells's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Austin Wells has 3 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.105 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-07-20 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-07-20 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-07-20 | GIDP | 31% | 69% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.