Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Wells

matchup for Luis Severino

184th out of 436 (Best 43%)

Luis Severino

matchup for Austin Wells

391st out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Severino

Austin Wells has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 1.5% lower than Wells's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Severino.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.5%	18.7%	3.0%	4.5%	11.2%	9.9%	27.1%
Wells	-1.5	-1.6	-0.3	-0.6	-0.7	+0.1	-1.6
Severino	-1.5	-2.6	+0.5	+0.4	-3.6	+1.1	+3.8

Austin Wells is much better vs right-handed pitching. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Wells has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Austin Wells has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Austin Wells has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Austin Wells hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+19%

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Medium Ride 24%

+10%

14.5% of Austin Wells's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.2% +0.9% 3%

Walk +2.6% -1.1% 41%

In Play -2.5% +0.2% 39%

On Base -0.8% -0.9% 31%

Hit -3.4% +0.2% 14%

Single -2.8% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B -2.4% +0.4% 3%

Home Run +1.8% -0.5%

26.3% of Austin Wells's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.3% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% +1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.8% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% +3.2% 9%

Rising Liner -4.0% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.3% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.2% -1.4% 3%

Pop up +3.3% -0.7%

26.2% of Austin Wells's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.4% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.7% -3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.0% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.9% -0.5%

12.2% of Austin Wells's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%