Matchup Machine

Austin Wells

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

74th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Austin Wells

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Duffey
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Model Prediction

Austin Wells has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 0.8% higher than Wells's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%19.1%3.1%4.7%11.2%11.7%31.4%
Wells+0.8-1.2-0.1-0.4-0.7+2.0+2.7
Duffey-3.3-3.6+0.5-0.6-3.6+0.3+6.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Wells is much better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Wells has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Austin Wells hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

14.5% of Austin Wells's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.2% +3.7% 3%         Walk +2.6% -2.4% 41%         In Play -2.5% -1.3% 39%         On Base -0.8% -5.5% 31%         Hit -3.4% -3.1% 14%         Single -2.8% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years