Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Senzel

matchup for Roki Sasaki

72nd out of 436 (Best 17%)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for Nick Senzel

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Senzel

Nick Senzel has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 4.2% higher than Senzel's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	23.8%	2.6%	6.3%	14.8%	9.6%	24.5%
Senzel	+4.2	+1.0	+0.4	+1.4	-0.8	+3.2	-1.3
Sasaki	-3.8	+1.1	-0.4	+0.1	+1.4	-4.9	+1.9

Nick Senzel is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Senzel has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Nick Senzel has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. Nick Senzel has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Nick Senzel has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

14.0% of Nick Senzel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.1% -4.7% 4%

Walk +1.0% +27.6% 40%

In Play +0.1% -23.0% 39%

On Base -0.5% +14.9% 31%

Hit -1.4% -12.8% 14%

Single -0.8% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -6.7% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -3.1%

39.4% of Nick Senzel's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.0% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +1.4% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.7% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.1% -2.5% 3%

Pop up +0.2% +15.2%

18.0% of Nick Senzel's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.4% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.1% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.4% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.5% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.3% -24.3%

12.3% of Nick Senzel's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%