Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Senzel

matchup for Graham Ashcraft

92nd out of 436 (Best 22%)

Graham Ashcraft

matchup for Nick Senzel

50th out of 567 (Best 10%)

Moderate advantage for Senzel

Nick Senzel has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Graham Ashcraft, which is 4.6% higher than Senzel's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Ashcraft.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.7%	27.8%	2.0%	4.7%	21.1%	5.9%	17.7%
Senzel	+4.6	+5.0	-0.2	-0.2	+5.4	-0.5	-8.1
Ashcraft	-3.2	+1.3	-0.2	-0.4	+1.9	-4.4	+1.4

Nick Senzel is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Graham Ashcraft is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Senzel has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Graham Ashcraft throws a Cutter 51% of the time. Nick Senzel has a D- grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

51%

Slider (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

15%

14% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Nick Senzel has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

30% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Nick Senzel has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 30%

+21%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Minimal Break 24%

+14%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

14.0% of Nick Senzel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. Graham Ashcraft strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.1% -6.0% 4%

Walk +1.0% -0.9% 40%

In Play +0.1% +6.9% 39%

On Base -0.5% +7.5% 31%

Hit -1.4% +8.4% 14%

Single -0.8% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +4.7% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -0.6%

39.4% of Nick Senzel's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.0% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +1.4% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.7% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.1% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +0.2% -0.5%

18.0% of Nick Senzel's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.4% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.1% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.4% +3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.5% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.3% -1.4%

12.3% of Nick Senzel's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%