Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Sean Murphy

matchup for Y. Yamamoto

282nd out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

matchup for Sean Murphy

437th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Moderate advantage for Yamamoto

Sean Murphy has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which is 1.7% lower than Murphy's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Yamamoto.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.7%	18.7%	2.6%	4.1%	12.0%	11.1%	28.5%
Murphy	-1.7	-1.9	-0.5	-1.0	-0.4	+0.2	+1.4
Yamamoto	+0.5	-1.6	+0.2	+0.3	-2.1	+2.2	+0.7

Sean Murphy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Murphy has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Sean Murphy has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Splitter (R)

24%

Curve (R)

22%

Cutter (R)

7% of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Sean Murphy has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

43% of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Sean Murphy has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 43%

+24%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

Offspeed (R) 24%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

15.2% of Sean Murphy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikes out 19.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.9% +3.3% 3%

Walk +2.6% -1.8% 41%

In Play -3.6% -1.4% 39%

On Base -0.7% +1.2% 31%

Hit -3.3% +3.1% 14%

Single -3.0% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -2.5% +1.6% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +0.5%

35.6% of Sean Murphy's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +1.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.0% +3.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.7% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner +1.8% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.3% +1.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.3% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.6% -6.6% 3%

Pop up -0.3% -0.5%

30.2% of Sean Murphy's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Yoshinobu Yamamoto are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.8% +5.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% -7.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.6% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.9% +2.6%

9.5% of Sean Murphy's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 8.7% of batted balls allowed by Yoshinobu Yamamoto are hit at this angle, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.2% +7.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.7% +5.9% 8%

1 to 6° +0.5% -2.9% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% +0.4% 15%

19 to 28° +1.7% -3.8% 11%

29 to 38° -1.9% -2.7% 7%

39 to 50° -0.9% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° +1.1% -3.3%

Sean Murphy has 2 plate appearances against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.95	0.81	0.14	0.00			0.476

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-16	Double	81%	14%		5%
2024-09-16	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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