Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Sean Murphy

matchup for Daniel Palencia

202nd out of 436 (Best 47%)

Daniel Palencia

matchup for Sean Murphy

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Murphy

Sean Murphy has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 2.9% higher than Murphy's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Palencia.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.3%	17.3%	2.6%	4.2%	10.6%	17.0%	31.2%
Murphy	+2.9	-3.3	-0.4	-1.0	-1.8	+6.2	+4.1
Palencia	-0.5	-2.2	+0.2	+0.3	-2.7	+1.7	+4.0

Sean Murphy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Murphy has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Sean Murphy has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

61%

Slider (R)

29%

Sinker (R)

11% of Daniel Palencia's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Sean Murphy has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 11%

+6%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

42% of Daniel Palencia's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 39% higher than the MLB average. Sean Murphy has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 42%

+39%

Medium Ride 36%

+22%

Large Break 43%

+22%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

15.2% of Sean Murphy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.9% +4.4% 3%

Walk +2.6% +3.4% 41%

In Play -3.6% -7.8% 39%

On Base -0.7% -0.7% 31%

Hit -3.3% -4.2% 14%

Single -3.0% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -2.5% -1.6% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -0.6%

35.6% of Sean Murphy's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia induces Standard Grounders at a 40.2% rate, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% +5.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.0% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -3.7% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.8% -2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.3% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% -1.4% 1%

No Doubter +1.3% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.6% -3.5% 3%

Pop up -0.3% +0.4%

30.2% of Sean Murphy's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. 32.4% of batted balls allowed by Daniel Palencia are hit at above 100 mph, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.8% -4.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% +0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.6% -3.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.9% +8.1%

9.5% of Sean Murphy's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 4.7% of batted balls allowed by Daniel Palencia are hit at this angle, which is 6.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.2% +3.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.7% -3.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.5% +2.6% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% +5.2% 15%

19 to 28° +1.7% +2.1% 11%

29 to 38° -1.9% -6.8% 7%

39 to 50° -0.9% -3.5% 8%

Above 50° +1.1% +0.0%

Sean Murphy has 1 plate appearance against Daniel Palencia in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.31	0.00	0.00	0.31			0.310

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-05	Groundout			31%	69%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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