Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Sean Murphy

matchup for Jared Jones

312th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Sean Murphy

267th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Moderate advantage for Murphy

Sean Murphy has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.4% higher than Murphy's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.8%	19.6%	3.5%	5.6%	10.6%	12.2%	29.9%
Murphy	+0.4	-0.9	+0.5	+0.4	-1.7	+1.3	+2.8
Jones	+0.7	-1.2	+0.5	+0.5	-2.2	+1.9	+1.3

Sean Murphy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Murphy has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Sean Murphy has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Sean Murphy has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Sean Murphy has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

15.2% of Sean Murphy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.9% +0.4% 3%

Walk +2.6% +0.6% 41%

In Play -3.6% -1.1% 39%

On Base -0.7% -0.1% 31%

Hit -3.3% -0.8% 14%

Single -3.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.5% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +0.9%

35.6% of Sean Murphy's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.0% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -3.7% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.8% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.3% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.3% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.6% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.3% +2.5%

30.2% of Sean Murphy's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.8% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.6% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.9% +0.4%

9.5% of Sean Murphy's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%