Matchup Machine

Sean Murphy

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matchup for John Means

175th out of 436 (Best 41%)

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John Means

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matchup for Sean Murphy

233rd out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Murphy
3

Model Prediction

Sean Murphy has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 1.6% lower than Murphy's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Means.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%22.7%3.8%6.6%12.4%7.2%25.7%
Murphy-1.6+2.1+0.7+1.4+0.0-3.7-1.3
Means-1.1-1.4+0.4+0.0-1.7+0.3+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Sean Murphy is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Murphy has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Sean Murphy has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
28%
   Slider (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Sean Murphy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.9% -0.2% 3%         Walk +2.6% -2.7% 41%         In Play -3.6% +2.9% 39%         On Base -0.7% -4.8% 31%         Hit -3.3% -2.0% 14%         Single -3.0% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.5% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years