Matchup Machine

Sean Murphy

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matchup for Domingo German

192nd out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Domingo German

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matchup for Sean Murphy

201st out of 567 (Best 36%)

Moderate advantage for Murphy
5

Model Prediction

Sean Murphy has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Domingo German, which is 2.2% higher than Murphy's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing German.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.6%20.6%3.2%4.4%13.0%13.0%24.3%
Murphy+2.2+0.1+0.1-0.8+0.7+2.2-2.8
German-0.1-2.4+0.2-0.6-1.9+2.3+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Sean Murphy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Domingo German is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Murphy has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Domingo German throws a Curve 36% of the time. Sean Murphy has an A grade against right-handed Curves

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Curve (R)
36%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Sean Murphy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Domingo German strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.9% +2.5% 3%         Walk +2.6% 0.0% 41%         In Play -3.6% -2.5% 39%         On Base -0.7% -3.0% 31%         Hit -3.3% -3.0% 14%         Single -3.0% -1.8% 13%         2B / 3B -2.5% -1.4% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.2%

History

Sean Murphy has 3 plate appearances against Domingo German in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.910.000.020.900.305
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-27Groundout4%96%
2022-08-27Groundout2%84%15%
2022-08-27Groundout2%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.