Matchup Machine

Luis Campusano

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matchup for Daniel Palencia

355th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Daniel Palencia

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matchup for Luis Campusano

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Campusano
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Model Prediction

Luis Campusano has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 4.5% higher than Campusano's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Palencia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%22.5%2.2%4.4%15.9%13.3%19.3%
Campusano+4.5-1.1-0.2-0.2-0.7+5.6+1.2
Palencia+1.0+3.0-0.2+0.6+2.6-2.0-7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Campusano is better vs right-handed pitching. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Campusano has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Luis Campusano has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
61%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Luis Campusano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.2% +4.4% 5%         Walk -1.9% +3.4% 35%         In Play +12.0% -7.8% 39%         On Base +5.4% -0.7% 31%         Hit +7.3% -4.2% 14%         Single +3.3% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% -1.6% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.6%

History

Luis Campusano has 3 plate appearances against Daniel Palencia in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010000.333
Expected From Contact →1.020.000.540.480.340
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-06Double53%34%13%
2024-04-10Groundout14%86%
2024-04-10Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.