Luis Campusano has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 4.5% higher than Campusano's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Palencia.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 35.8% | 22.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 19.3% |
Campusano | +4.5 | -1.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.7 | +5.6 | +1.2 |
Palencia | +1.0 | +3.0 | -0.2 | +0.6 | +2.6 | -2.0 | -7.9 |
Luis Campusano is better vs right-handed pitching. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Campusano has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Luis Campusano has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
8.5% of Luis Campusano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Luis Campusano has 3 plate appearances against Daniel Palencia in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.54 | 0.48 | 0.340 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-06 | Double | 53% | 34% | 13% | |
2024-04-10 | Groundout | 14% | 86% | ||
2024-04-10 | Flyout | 99% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.