Matchup Machine

Luis Campusano

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

225th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Luis Campusano

463rd out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Luis Campusano has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.6% lower than Campusano's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.7%22.6%1.7%4.9%15.9%6.1%17.9%
Campusano-2.6-1.1-0.7+0.3-0.7-1.5-0.1
Weathers-1.2+1.0-0.4-0.6+2.0-2.2-6.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Campusano is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Campusano doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Luis Campusano hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Luis Campusano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.2% -2.1% 5%         Walk -1.9% -0.6% 35%         In Play +12.0% +2.7% 39%         On Base +5.4% +0.9% 31%         Hit +7.3% +1.5% 14%         Single +3.3% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% +1.2% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.5%

History

Luis Campusano has 2 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.010.008
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-21Walk
2023-08-21Pop Out99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.