Luis Campusano has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.6% higher than Campusano's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Flaherty.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 33.9% | 25.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 18.3% | 8.1% | 17.4% |
Campusano | +2.6 | +2.2 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +1.7 | +0.5 | -0.6 |
Flaherty | -0.3 | +2.5 | -0.8 | -0.4 | +3.8 | -2.9 | -5.4 |
Luis Campusano is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Campusano has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Luis Campusano has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
8.5% of Luis Campusano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Luis Campusano has 2 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.62 | 0.326 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2022-09-22 | Single | 3% | 62% | 35% | |
2022-09-22 | Field Error |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.