Matchup Machine

Luis Campusano

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

244th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Luis Campusano

107th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Strong advantage for Campusano
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Model Prediction

Luis Campusano has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.6% higher than Campusano's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.9%25.8%2.8%4.7%18.3%8.1%17.4%
Campusano+2.6+2.2+0.4+0.1+1.7+0.5-0.6
Flaherty-0.3+2.5-0.8-0.4+3.8-2.9-5.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Campusano is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Campusano has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Luis Campusano has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Luis Campusano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.2% +5.8% 5%         Walk -1.9% -1.5% 35%         In Play +12.0% -4.3% 39%         On Base +5.4% -2.0% 31%         Hit +7.3% -0.5% 14%         Single +3.3% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% -0.3% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.2%

History

Luis Campusano has 2 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.650.000.030.620.326
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-22Single3%62%35%
2022-09-22Field Error

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.