Matchup Machine

Luis Campusano

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matchup for Seth Lugo

205th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Luis Campusano

329th out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Leans in favor of Campusano
2

Model Prediction

Luis Campusano has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.1% higher than Campusano's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%24.5%2.4%4.4%17.7%6.9%19.5%
Campusano+0.1+0.8+0.0-0.3+1.0-0.7+1.4
Lugo-1.1+0.5-0.7-0.6+1.8-1.6-5.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Campusano is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Campusano has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Luis Campusano has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Luis Campusano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.2% +0.8% 5%         Walk -1.9% -2.3% 35%         In Play +12.0% +1.4% 39%         On Base +5.4% -0.4% 31%         Hit +7.3% +1.9% 14%         Single +3.3% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% +1.1% 3%         Home Run 0.0% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years