Matchup Machine

Luis Campusano

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matchup for Martin Perez

135th out of 436 (Best 32%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Luis Campusano

124th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Strong advantage for Campusano
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Model Prediction

Luis Campusano has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.4% higher than Campusano's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%25.7%2.8%5.0%18.0%6.9%15.5%
Campusano+1.4+2.1+0.4+0.3+1.4-0.7-2.6
Perez-2.0+0.4-0.3-0.4+1.1-2.4-2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Campusano is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Campusano doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Luis Campusano hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Luis Campusano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.2% -6.1% 5%         Walk -1.9% -0.3% 35%         In Play +12.0% +6.4% 39%         On Base +5.4% +5.9% 31%         Hit +7.3% +6.3% 14%         Single +3.3% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% +3.3% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.6%

History

Luis Campusano has 3 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332002100.667
Expected From Contact →0.800.000.050.750.266
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-29Strikeout
2023-07-29Single5%63%32%
2023-07-29Single12%88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.