Matchup Machine

Shea Langeliers

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matchup for Bryce Miller

318th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Shea Langeliers

432nd out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Miller
2

Model Prediction

Shea Langeliers has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 0.1% higher than Langeliers's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%20.8%2.7%4.4%13.8%10.2%31.4%
Langeliers-0.1-1.7-0.8-1.0+0.2+1.5+5.1
Miller+1.9+0.4+0.4+0.00.0+1.5+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Shea Langeliers is better vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Langeliers has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Shea Langeliers has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Shea Langeliers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.1% +0.2% 4%         Walk +0.2% -2.5% 41%         In Play -3.3% +2.3% 39%         On Base -0.6% -3.2% 31%         Hit -0.8% -0.7% 14%         Single -1.7% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.5%

History

Shea Langeliers has 8 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual881100400.125
Expected From Contact →1.480.730.710.040.185
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-29Lineout9%62%2%27%
2025-03-29Home Run64%7%28%
2025-03-29Flyout100%
2023-05-24Flyout2%1%97%
2023-05-24Strikeout
2023-05-24Strikeout
2023-05-02Strikeout
2023-05-02Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.