Matchup Machine

Shea Langeliers

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

249th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Shea Langeliers

533rd out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Strong advantage for Gilbert
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Model Prediction

Shea Langeliers has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 6.8% lower than Langeliers's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.8%18.0%4.1%4.3%9.7%5.8%41.7%
Langeliers-6.8-3.2+0.5-0.8-2.9-3.7+12.9
Gilbert-0.9-1.2+1.3+0.1-2.6+0.3+4.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Shea Langeliers is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Langeliers has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Shea Langeliers has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

16.7% of Shea Langeliers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.6% +4.3% 4%         Walk +0.1% -4.1% 41%         In Play -3.6% -0.1% 39%         On Base -0.7% -7.8% 31%         Hit -0.8% -3.7% 14%         Single -1.7% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -2.0% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.5%

History

Shea Langeliers has 17 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 17 with 2 home runs and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual17172200700.118
Expected From Contact →2.861.960.080.820.168
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Strikeout
2025-03-27Flyout
2025-03-27Strikeout
2024-09-02Pop Out100%
2024-09-02Strikeout
2024-09-02Home Run98%1%
2024-06-05Groundout63%36%
2024-06-05Flyout1%2%97%
2024-06-05Strikeout
2023-05-25Groundout2%15%83%
2023-05-25Strikeout
2023-05-25Pop Out100%
2023-05-03Flyout2%98%
2023-05-03Strikeout
2022-09-30Strikeout
2022-09-30Flyout99%
2022-09-30Home Run97%3%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.