Matchup Machine

Shea Langeliers

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matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

203rd out of 436 (Best 47%)

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Nestor Cortes Jr.

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matchup for Shea Langeliers

320th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Leans in favor of Langeliers
2

Model Prediction

Shea Langeliers has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 1.7% lower than Langeliers's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Cortes Jr..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.5%22.0%4.3%5.3%12.4%7.6%26.9%
Langeliers-1.7-0.5+0.8-0.2-1.2-1.1+0.6
Cortes Jr.-2.0+0.2+1.0-0.2-0.7-2.1+3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Shea Langeliers is worse vs left-handed pitching. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Langeliers has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Shea Langeliers has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Cutter (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
20%
   Changeup (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Shea Langeliers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% higher than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.1% -0.1% 4%         Walk +0.2% -0.6% 41%         In Play -3.3% +0.6% 39%         On Base -0.6% -2.1% 31%         Hit -0.8% -1.6% 14%         Single -1.7% -1.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +1.5%

History

Shea Langeliers has 5 plate appearances against Nestor Cortes Jr. in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.850.020.700.130.171
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-25Groundout1%4%95%
2024-04-25Groundout4%96%
2024-04-25Pop Out100%
2023-05-08Lineout2%69%4%26%
2023-05-08Flyout1%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.