Matchup Machine

Shea Langeliers

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matchup for Seth Lugo

318th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Shea Langeliers

194th out of 567 (Best 35%)

Strong advantage for Langeliers
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Model Prediction

Shea Langeliers has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.0% higher than Langeliers's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%23.9%3.9%6.2%13.8%8.3%25.2%
Langeliers+1.0+1.4+0.4+0.7+0.3-0.4-1.1
Lugo-0.20.0+0.8+1.2-2.0-0.2+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Shea Langeliers is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Langeliers has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Shea Langeliers has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Shea Langeliers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.1% +0.8% 4%         Walk +0.2% -2.3% 41%         In Play -3.3% +1.4% 39%         On Base -0.6% -0.4% 31%         Hit -0.8% +1.9% 14%         Single -1.7% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% +1.1% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.1%

History

Shea Langeliers has 7 plate appearances against Seth Lugo in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with a home run and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual772110200.286
Expected From Contact →1.671.000.290.380.238
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-18Forceout18%81%
2024-05-18Double1%13%86%
2024-05-18Strikeout
2023-09-15Flyout45%14%40%
2023-09-15Home Run54%2%45%
2023-09-15Strikeout
2022-09-25Groundout18%82%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.