Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kyle Stowers

matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

67th out of 436 (Best 16%)

Brandon Pfaadt

matchup for Kyle Stowers

216th out of 564 (Best 39%)

Moderate advantage for Pfaadt

Kyle Stowers has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 0.7% higher than Stowers's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Pfaadt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	22.2%	3.8%	4.7%	13.7%	6.9%	37.6%
Stowers	+0.7	+1.8	+0.9	+0.1	+0.7	-1.1	+2.7
Pfaadt	-3.4	-2.3	+0.6	-0.6	-2.4	-1.1	+8.6

Kyle Stowers is worse vs right-handed pitching. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Stowers has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Kyle Stowers has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

19% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Stowers has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Stowers hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 29%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Large Break 15%

+10%

23.1% of Kyle Stowers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +9.5% +1.2% 5%

Walk -0.5% -2.4% 48%

In Play -9.0% +1.2% 39%

On Base -3.7% -0.1% 31%

Hit -3.2% +2.4% 14%

Single -1.6% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.1% +0.9% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +1.0%

26.5% of Kyle Stowers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt induces Standard Grounders at a 32.0% rate, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.0% -2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +10.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -5.8% +2.6% 9%

Rising Liner -3.7% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +5.2% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% +0.9% 3%

Pop up +2.7% -1.0%

48.5% of Kyle Stowers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 24.2% higher than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -11.7% -5.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.7% +5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -6.2% -4.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +24.2% +4.8%

7.0% of Kyle Stowers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at this angle, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.6% -3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +4.7% +5.5% 8%

1 to 6° +6.8% -1.5% 18%

7 to 18° -7.4% -2.0% 15%

19 to 28° +4.3% +3.9% 11%

29 to 38° -4.4% -3.7% 7%

39 to 50° -0.9% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° +3.3% +2.4%

Kyle Stowers has 3 plate appearances against Brandon Pfaadt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	0.667
Expected From Contact →			1.85	0.00	0.17	1.68			0.617

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-19	Flyout		13%	6%	82%
2024-08-19	Single			88%	11%
2024-08-19	Single		4%	75%	22%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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