Matchup Machine

Kyle Stowers

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matchup for Jared Jones

35th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Kyle Stowers

386th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Strong advantage for Jones
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Model Prediction

Kyle Stowers has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.1% lower than Stowers's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.3%18.4%2.6%4.7%11.2%9.0%38.8%
Stowers-1.1-2.0-0.3+0.1-1.8+0.9+3.8
Jones-3.7-2.4-0.4-0.4-1.7-1.3+10.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Stowers is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stowers has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Kyle Stowers has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

23.1% of Kyle Stowers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +9.5% +0.4% 5%         Walk -0.5% +0.6% 48%         In Play -9.0% -1.1% 39%         On Base -3.7% -0.1% 31%         Hit -3.2% -0.8% 14%         Single -1.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years