Matchup Machine

Kyle Stowers

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matchup for Alex Speas

38th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Alex Speas

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matchup for Kyle Stowers

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Speas
4

Model Prediction

Kyle Stowers has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 2.5% higher than Stowers's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Speas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%19.3%2.5%4.5%12.3%11.7%36.4%
Stowers+2.5-1.1-0.3-0.1-0.7+3.7+1.4
Speas-2.9-1.80.0-0.7-1.1-1.1+11.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Stowers is worse vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Stowers has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Kyle Stowers hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
77%
   4-Seam (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

23.1% of Kyle Stowers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +9.5% +19.9% 5%         Walk -0.5% -0.6% 48%         In Play -9.0% -19.3% 39%         On Base -3.7% -8.2% 31%         Hit -3.2% -7.6% 14%         Single -1.6% -5.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% -5.2% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +3.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years