Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brandon Marsh

matchup for Roki Sasaki

227th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for Brandon Marsh

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Marsh

Brandon Marsh has a 38.1% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 6.2% higher than Marsh's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.1%	20.8%	3.3%	6.0%	11.5%	17.4%	29.5%
Marsh	+6.2	-0.3	+0.1	+0.6	-1.1	+6.5	-1.6
Sasaki	+1.0	-1.9	+0.3	-0.2	-1.9	+2.9	+6.9

Brandon Marsh is better vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Marsh has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Brandon Marsh has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Marsh has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Marsh has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

19.3% of Brandon Marsh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +7.9% -4.7% 3%

Walk +2.5% +27.6% 44%

In Play -10.4% -23.0% 39%

On Base -0.2% +14.9% 31%

Hit -2.7% -12.8% 14%

Single -1.8% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -6.7% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -3.1%

31.8% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -3.2% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner +3.4% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.6% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -2.5% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +15.2%

27.5% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.4% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.2% -24.3%

12.1% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%