Matchup Machine

Brandon Marsh

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matchup for Daniel Palencia

189th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Daniel Palencia

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matchup for Brandon Marsh

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Marsh
1

Model Prediction

Brandon Marsh has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 3.5% higher than Marsh's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Palencia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.4%16.7%2.5%3.8%10.4%18.7%35.0%
Marsh+3.5-4.4-0.7-1.6-2.1+7.8+3.9
Palencia+0.6-2.8+0.2-0.1-2.9+3.4+7.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Brandon Marsh is better vs right-handed pitching. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Marsh has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Brandon Marsh has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
61%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.3% of Brandon Marsh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.9% +4.4% 3%         Walk +2.5% +3.4% 44%         In Play -10.4% -7.8% 39%         On Base -0.2% -0.7% 31%         Hit -2.7% -4.2% 14%         Single -1.8% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years