matchup for Logan Allen
matchup for Brandon Marsh
8
Brandon Marsh has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 3.3% higher than Marsh's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Allen.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.6% | 24.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 23.5% |
| Marsh | +3.3 | +3.4 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +3.0 | -0.1 | -6.9 |
| Allen | +0.6 | -1.2 | +0.7 | -0.4 | -1.5 | +1.8 | +5.9 |
Brandon Marsh is worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Marsh has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Brandon Marsh has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
38%
Slider (L)
28%
Changeup (L)
14%
Curve (L)
7%
Cutter (L)
5%
21% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Marsh has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Meatball
7%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Fringe Miss
11%
-1%
33% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Marsh has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Slow Velo
33%
+17%
Medium Break
33%
+14%
Medium Ride
22%
+8%
19.2% of Brandon Marsh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
11%
Strikeout
+7.8%
-2.5%
3%
Walk
+2.4%
+1.5%
44%
In Play
-10.1%
+1.1%
39%
On Base
-0.2%
+6.6%
31%
Hit
-2.6%
+5.1%
14%
Single
-1.8%
+2.6%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.4%
+3.0%
3%
Home Run
+0.6%
-0.6%
31.8% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Logan Allen induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.1%
0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.7%
+0.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.1%
+0.5%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.1%
-2.7%
9%
Rising Liner
+3.3%
+3.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.6%
-1.0%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.9%
-0.9%
1%
No Doubter
-0.3%
+0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.5%
+0.1%
3%
Pop up
-1.5%
-0.7%
27.3% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% higher than the league average. 27.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.7%
-3.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.5%
+1.7%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.3%
+1.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.9%
-2.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
+3.1%
+2.7%
12.1% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.9%
-0.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.1%
-0.9%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.4%
+0.3%
18%
7 to 18°
+2.4%
+6.5%
15%
19 to 28°
+2.6%
-2.7%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.6%
-1.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-2.8%
-0.3%
8%
Above 50°
-2.2%
-1.4%
Brandon Marsh has 1 plate appearance against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2022-04-27 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
