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Brandon Marsh

matchup for Sandy Alcantara

283rd out of 436 (Worst 35%)

Sandy Alcantara

matchup for Brandon Marsh

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Marsh

Brandon Marsh has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 1.5% higher than Marsh's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.5%	21.7%	3.0%	5.3%	13.4%	11.8%	32.7%
Marsh	+1.5	+0.5	-0.2	0.0	+0.8	+0.9	+1.6
Alcantara	+1.3	-0.2	+0.6	+0.5	-1.3	+1.5	+6.2

Brandon Marsh is better vs right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Marsh has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Brandon Marsh has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

28%

Changeup (R)

25%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Slider (R)

22%

12% of Sandy Alcantara's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Marsh has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

48% of Sandy Alcantara's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Marsh has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+33%

Extreme Fast Velo 22%

+19%

Small Drop 30%

+17%

Offspeed (R) 25%

+13%

19.3% of Brandon Marsh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +7.9% +2.6% 3%

Walk +2.5% -0.7% 44%

In Play -10.4% -1.9% 39%

On Base -0.2% -4.1% 31%

Hit -2.7% -3.3% 14%

Single -1.8% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -0.8% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -1.4%

31.8% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Sandy Alcantara induces Standard Grounders at a 43.1% rate, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% +8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.2% -3.1% 9%

Rising Liner +3.4% -1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.6% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -2.8% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +0.1%

27.5% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Sandy Alcantara are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% +1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.4% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.2% -1.3%

12.1% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Sandy Alcantara are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.8% +9.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.2% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° +1.3% -0.9% 18%

7 to 18° +2.6% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° +2.5% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.6% -1.2% 7%

39 to 50° -2.8% -2.1% 8%

Above 50° -2.3% -1.1%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	19	19	5	0	2	3	2	0	0.263
Expected From Contact →			4.11	0.31	0.73	3.07			0.217

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-01	Groundout			2%	98%
2023-08-01	Strikeout
2023-08-01	Groundout				99%
2023-07-07	Lineout		5%	11%	84%
2023-07-07	Double		1%	3%	95%
2023-07-07	Single		1%	72%	27%
2023-04-10	Flyout	5%	2%		93%
2023-04-10	Double		21%	3%	76%
2022-09-13	Groundout			2%	98%
2022-09-13	Single	26%	36%	22%	15%
2022-09-13	Flyout				100%
2022-09-08	Groundout			16%	83%
2022-09-08	Groundout			49%	51%
2022-08-10	Flyout				99%
2022-08-10	Single			75%	25%
2022-08-10	Lineout		3%	11%	86%
2022-07-05	Strikeout
2022-07-05	Groundout			38%	62%
2022-07-05	Groundout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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