Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brandon Marsh

matchup for Aaron Nola

64th out of 436 (Best 15%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Brandon Marsh

514th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Brandon Marsh has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 4.6% lower than Marsh's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.4%	19.1%	3.0%	5.5%	10.5%	8.3%	42.2%
Marsh	-4.6	-2.0	-0.2	+0.2	-2.0	-2.6	+11.1
Nola	-2.1	-3.3	+0.1	-0.8	-2.6	+1.2	+11.3

Brandon Marsh is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Marsh has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Brandon Marsh hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Marsh has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Marsh has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

19.3% of Brandon Marsh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +7.9% +6.3% 3%

Walk +2.5% -2.8% 44%

In Play -10.4% -3.5% 39%

On Base -0.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit -2.7% -2.0% 14%

Single -1.8% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -0.5%

31.8% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -3.2% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +3.4% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.6% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -1.5% -0.7%

27.5% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.4% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.2% -0.7%

12.1% of Brandon Marsh's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%