Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

MJ Melendez

matchup for Will Warren

259th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

Will Warren

matchup for MJ Melendez

212th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Moderate advantage for Melendez

MJ Melendez has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 2.1% higher than Melendez's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Warren.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	21.2%	3.8%	4.5%	12.9%	12.1%	28.1%
Melendez	+2.1	+0.1	+0.1	0.0	0.0	+2.0	+1.3
Warren	-0.3	-0.7	+1.0	-0.9	-0.9	+0.5	+1.8

MJ Melendez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Melendez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. MJ Melendez has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 36%

+24%

Extreme Break 33%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

14.9% of MJ Melendez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.5% +3.0% 4%

Walk -0.1% +1.4% 40%

In Play -0.4% -4.3% 39%

On Base -4.2% -0.5% 31%

Hit -4.1% -1.8% 14%

Single -3.2% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -2.8% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +1.8% +1.6%

30.2% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% lower than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.2% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -4.1% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.0% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% +1.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.0% +7.7% 3%

Pop up +1.3% -2.8%

29.3% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.6% -9.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.4% -5.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% +6.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.5% +6.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.0% +2.1%

14.8% of MJ Melendez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%