Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

MJ Melendez

matchup for Ryan Weathers

166th out of 436 (Best 39%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for MJ Melendez

481st out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers

MJ Melendez has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.7% lower than Melendez's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.5%	19.2%	2.8%	4.9%	11.5%	9.4%	29.7%
Melendez	-2.7	-2.0	-0.9	+0.3	-1.4	-0.7	+3.0
Weathers	-1.4	-2.4	+0.7	-0.7	-2.4	+1.0	+5.0

MJ Melendez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Melendez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. MJ Melendez has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

14.9% of MJ Melendez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.5% -2.1% 4%

Walk -0.1% -0.6% 40%

In Play -0.4% +2.7% 39%

On Base -4.2% +0.9% 31%

Hit -4.1% +1.5% 14%

Single -3.2% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -2.8% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +1.8% -0.5%

30.2% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.2% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -4.1% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.0% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.0% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +1.2%

29.3% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.6% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.4% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.5% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.0% +1.1%

14.8% of MJ Melendez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%