Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

MJ Melendez

matchup for Tanner Bibee

246th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Tanner Bibee

matchup for MJ Melendez

299th out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Moderate advantage for Melendez

MJ Melendez has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 0.0% higher than Melendez's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Bibee.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.6%	23.4%	3.9%	4.7%	14.7%	8.2%	29.6%
Melendez	+0.0	+1.7	+0.2	+0.1	+1.4	-1.7	+2.0
Bibee	-0.2	+0.4	+1.1	-0.5	-0.2	-0.6	+3.8

MJ Melendez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Melendez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. MJ Melendez has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

45%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

17%

Curve (R)

13% of Tanner Bibee's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

28% of Tanner Bibee's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Medium Break 22%

+13%

Medium Ride 25%

+11%

14.8% of MJ Melendez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.4% +3.2% 4%

Walk +0.1% -1.5% 40%

In Play -0.5% -1.7% 39%

On Base -3.7% -0.6% 31%

Hit -3.8% +0.9% 14%

Single -3.1% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.6% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.9% +0.3%

30.6% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee induces Standard Grounders at a 23.0% rate, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.8% -11.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -4.1% +2.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% +1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.8% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.8% +2.7% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +2.2%

29.4% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. 26.2% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Bibee are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.7% -3.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.2% +1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.3% +0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.1% +1.9%

14.6% of MJ Melendez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Bibee are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.0% -9.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.8% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.4% -3.5% 18%

7 to 18° -0.3% +7.9% 15%

19 to 28° -4.9% +1.3% 11%

29 to 38° +3.2% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +1.2% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +4.0% +3.0%

MJ Melendez has 14 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 12 with 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	12	0	0	0	0	7	2	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.17	0.02	0.04	0.12			0.014

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-03	Strikeout
2024-09-03	Strikeout
2024-09-03	Groundout			10%	90%
2024-08-28	Walk
2024-08-28	Strikeout
2024-08-28	Flyout		1%	1%	97%
2024-06-29	Flyout				100%
2024-06-29	Strikeout
2024-06-06	Flyout	2%	1%		97%
2024-06-06	Strikeout
2024-06-06	Walk
2023-07-06	Pop Out				99%
2023-07-06	Strikeout
2023-07-06	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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