Matchup Machine

MJ Melendez

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matchup for Logan Gillaspie

173rd out of 436 (Best 40%)

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Logan Gillaspie

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matchup for MJ Melendez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Melendez
3

Model Prediction

MJ Melendez has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 0.6% lower than Melendez's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Gillaspie.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%23.9%3.0%5.7%15.2%6.6%23.1%
Melendez-0.6+2.8-0.6+1.2+2.2-3.4-3.6
Gillaspie-1.0-1.3+0.3+0.3-1.9+0.3+3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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MJ Melendez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Melendez has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. MJ Melendez has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
46%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.9% of MJ Melendez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.5% -9.1% 4%         Walk -0.1% -5.0% 40%         In Play -0.4% +14.2% 39%         On Base -4.2% +11.5% 31%         Hit -4.1% +16.6% 14%         Single -3.2% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.8% +7.8% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years