Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

MJ Melendez

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

259th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for MJ Melendez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Melendez

MJ Melendez has a 35.7% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 4.5% higher than Melendez's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.7%	23.7%	3.7%	5.5%	14.5%	12.0%	24.7%
Melendez	+4.5	+2.6	+0.0	+1.0	+1.6	+2.0	-2.0
Rodriguez	+0.5	-0.9	+0.7	-0.5	-1.2	+1.4	+3.1

MJ Melendez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. MJ Melendez has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

14.9% of MJ Melendez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.5% +6.5% 4%

Walk -0.1% +4.1% 40%

In Play -0.4% -10.5% 39%

On Base -4.2% +8.4% 31%

Hit -4.1% +4.3% 14%

Single -3.2% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.8% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.8% +3.7%

30.2% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.2% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -4.1% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.0% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.0% +0.7% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +0.9%

29.3% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.6% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.4% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.5% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.0% +10.4%

14.8% of MJ Melendez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%