matchup for Tanner Houck
matchup for MJ Melendez
2
MJ Melendez has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 1.5% lower than Melendez's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Houck.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.6% | 20.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 22.8% |
| Melendez | -1.5 | -1.2 | -0.9 | -0.9 | +0.6 | -0.3 | -3.4 |
| Houck | -2.1 | -1.6 | +0.5 | -0.4 | -1.7 | -0.5 | +3.2 |
MJ Melendez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Melendez has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. MJ Melendez has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
40%
Sinker (R)
28%
Splitter (R)
15%
4-Seam (R)
14%
10% of Tanner Houck's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Meatball
4%
-2%
53% of Tanner Houck's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 41% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Drop
53%
+41%
Large Break
17%
+12%
Breaking (R)
40%
+9%
Very Slow Velo
22%
+9%
15.2% of MJ Melendez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+1.0%
-1.6%
4%
Walk
-0.5%
+0.2%
40%
In Play
-0.5%
+1.4%
39%
On Base
-4.5%
+0.4%
31%
Hit
-4.1%
+0.2%
14%
Single
-3.1%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-2.6%
+0.7%
3%
Home Run
+1.7%
-0.9%
30.3% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck induces Standard Grounders at a 42.7% rate, which is 8.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.5%
-0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
-4.1%
+8.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.2%
+1.9%
14%
Low Screamer
-4.0%
-5.6%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.4%
+2.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.9%
-0.9%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.8%
-0.2%
1%
No Doubter
-0.2%
-0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
+3.0%
-3.4%
3%
Pop up
+1.4%
-1.0%
29.0% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. 30.4% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Houck are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-6.6%
-0.9%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.1%
-0.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.5%
-4.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+3.5%
-0.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
+4.7%
+6.1%
14.7% of MJ Melendez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Houck are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.3%
+8.4%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.1%
+1.8%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.5%
+1.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.2%
-0.7%
15%
19 to 28°
-5.1%
-3.8%
11%
29 to 38°
+3.2%
-0.8%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.5%
-3.0%
8%
Above 50°
+4.3%
-3.2%
MJ Melendez has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a double and a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.75 | 0.491 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-09-02 | Single | 25% | 75% | ||
| 2023-09-02 | Double | 23% | 50% | 27% | |
| 2023-09-02 | Walk | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
