Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

MJ Melendez

matchup for Yonny Chirinos

235th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

Yonny Chirinos

matchup for MJ Melendez

122nd out of 567 (Best 22%)

Strong advantage for Melendez

MJ Melendez has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 1.4% higher than Melendez's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Chirinos.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.5%	22.8%	4.6%	4.4%	13.9%	9.7%	21.7%
Melendez	+1.4	+1.7	+0.9	-0.2	+0.9	-0.3	-5.0
Chirinos	-1.6	-1.0	+1.5	-0.8	-1.7	-0.6	+2.2

MJ Melendez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Melendez has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. MJ Melendez has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

51%

Slider (R)

25%

Splitter (R)

20%

14% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

40% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 40%

+25%

Low Ride 46%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

14.9% of MJ Melendez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.5% -7.8% 4%

Walk -0.1% -0.6% 40%

In Play -0.4% +8.3% 39%

On Base -4.2% +2.3% 31%

Hit -4.1% +2.9% 14%

Single -3.2% +1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -2.8% +1.4% 3%

Home Run +1.8% +0.4%

30.2% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos induces Standard Grounders at a 36.6% rate, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.2% +2.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% -1.0% 14%

Low Screamer -4.1% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.0% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.0% -1.7% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +2.3%

29.3% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 25.6% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.6% -0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.4% -1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% +2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.5% -1.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.0% +1.3%

14.8% of MJ Melendez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.3% +1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +2.0% 8%

1 to 6° -1.4% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° -0.2% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -4.9% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +3.3% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +1.4% -1.9% 8%

Above 50° +4.0% +2.1%

MJ Melendez has 7 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	6	1	1	0	0	1	1	0.167
Expected From Contact →			1.51	0.74	0.55	0.21			0.251

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-25	Walk
2024-06-25	Pop Out				100%
2023-07-16	Home Run	71%	10%		19%
2023-07-16	Groundout			18%	82%
2023-06-24	Flyout				100%
2023-06-24	Strikeout
2023-06-24	Lineout	3%	44%	3%	49%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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