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MJ Melendez

matchup for Cal Quantrill

161st out of 436 (Best 38%)

Cal Quantrill

matchup for MJ Melendez

22nd out of 567 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Melendez

MJ Melendez has a 36.9% chance of reaching base vs Cal Quantrill, which is 5.7% higher than Melendez's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Quantrill.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.9%	22.7%	3.8%	5.4%	13.5%	14.2%	19.7%
Melendez	+5.7	+1.6	+0.2	+0.8	+0.5	+4.2	-7.0
Quantrill	-1.9	-2.3	+0.8	-0.7	-2.5	+0.5	+3.1

MJ Melendez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Cal Quantrill is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Melendez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Cal Quantrill throws a Sinker 41% of the time. MJ Melendez has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

41%

Cutter (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

10%

Splitter (R)

Slider (R)

Curve (R)

4-Seam (R)

11% of Cal Quantrill's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

41% of Cal Quantrill's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 41%

+20%

Fastball (R) 65%

+11%

Medium Slow Velo 23%

+10%

Low Ride 31%

+8%

14.9% of MJ Melendez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Cal Quantrill strikes out 11.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.5% -6.2% 4%

Walk -0.1% +1.0% 40%

In Play -0.4% +5.2% 39%

On Base -4.2% +4.1% 31%

Hit -4.1% +3.1% 14%

Single -3.2% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -2.8% +1.3% 3%

Home Run +1.8% +0.8%

30.2% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% lower than the league average. Cal Quantrill induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.2% +1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -4.1% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.5% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.0% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.0% -0.6% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +1.4%

29.3% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Cal Quantrill are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.6% -1.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.4% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.5% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.0% +0.5%

14.8% of MJ Melendez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. 13.2% of batted balls allowed by Cal Quantrill are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.3% -2.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +0.7% 8%

1 to 6° -1.4% +0.9% 18%

7 to 18° -0.2% +3.1% 15%

19 to 28° -4.9% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° +3.3% +1.7% 7%

39 to 50° +1.4% -2.8% 8%

Above 50° +4.0% -0.3%

MJ Melendez has 9 plate appearances against Cal Quantrill in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 9 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	9	2	0	1	1	1	0	0.222
Expected From Contact →			3.87	0.40	1.00	2.48			0.430

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-18	Forceout			5%	95%
2023-09-18	Flyout	39%	24%	1%	36%
2023-09-18	Triple		60%	3%	36%
2022-10-04	Groundout		5%	59%	36%
2022-10-04	Groundout		1%	12%	86%
2022-10-04	Strikeout
2022-05-31	Lineout		6%	83%	11%
2022-05-31	Single		3%	79%	18%
2022-05-31	Groundout			4%	95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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