matchup for Tyler Glasnow
matchup for MJ Melendez
8
MJ Melendez has a 24.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 6.6% lower than Melendez's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Glasnow.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 24.6% | 17.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 33.1% |
| Melendez | -6.6 | -4.5 | -0.9 | -0.7 | -2.9 | -2.1 | +6.9 |
| Glasnow | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.6 | +0.2 | -0.7 | +0.1 | +2.3 |
MJ Melendez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Melendez has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. MJ Melendez has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
55%
Curve (R)
22%
Slider (R)
19%
15% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
15%
+4%
Strong Challenge
8%
+3%
Weak Challenge
9%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Fringe Miss
12%
-1%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-1%
Meatball
2%
-4%
39% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Minimal Break, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. MJ Melendez has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Minimal Break
39%
+29%
Very Fast Velo
31%
+23%
Extreme Drop
23%
+18%
Breaking (R)
41%
+10%
15.2% of MJ Melendez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.4% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+1.0%
+11.2%
4%
Walk
-0.5%
-0.6%
40%
In Play
-0.5%
-10.6%
39%
On Base
-4.5%
-6.7%
31%
Hit
-4.1%
-6.1%
14%
Single
-3.1%
-2.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-2.6%
-2.7%
3%
Home Run
+1.7%
-0.9%
30.3% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. Tyler Glasnow induces Standard Grounders at a 41.3% rate, which is 6.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.5%
+0.9%
34%
Standard Grounder
-4.1%
+6.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.2%
+1.0%
14%
Low Screamer
-4.0%
-3.3%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.4%
-1.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.9%
-0.7%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.8%
-0.4%
1%
No Doubter
-0.2%
-0.9%
20%
Routine Flyout
+3.0%
-2.1%
3%
Pop up
+1.4%
+0.6%
29.0% of MJ Melendez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-6.6%
-1.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.1%
-0.8%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.5%
0.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+3.5%
+1.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
+4.7%
+1.0%
14.7% of MJ Melendez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.3%
+6.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.1%
+2.6%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.5%
+0.8%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.2%
-5.2%
15%
19 to 28°
-5.1%
-3.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+3.2%
+0.4%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.5%
-2.3%
8%
Above 50°
+4.3%
+0.3%
MJ Melendez has 7 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 7 with 3 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.429 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.58 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1.51 | 0.225 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-16 | Groundout | 4% | 18% | 78% | |
| 2024-06-16 | Single | 58% | 42% | ||
| 2023-07-15 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-07-15 | Single | 2% | 63% | 35% | |
| 2023-07-15 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-06-25 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-06-25 | Single | 13% | 87% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
