Matchup Machine

Garrett Mitchell

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matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

143rd out of 436 (Best 34%)

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Nestor Cortes Jr.

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matchup for G. Mitchell

215th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Leans in favor of Mitchell
1

Model Prediction

Garrett Mitchell has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 0.8% higher than Mitchell's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Cortes Jr..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%20.2%3.5%5.1%11.6%11.5%34.5%
Mitchell+0.8+0.7+0.6+0.8-0.7+0.1+1.4
Cortes Jr.+0.2-1.6+0.2-0.3-1.4+1.8+10.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Garrett Mitchell is worse vs left-handed pitching. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mitchell doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Garrett Mitchell hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Cutter (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
20%
   Changeup (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

22.8% of Garrett Mitchell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% higher than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +9.8% -0.1% 4%         Walk +2.6% -0.6% 48%         In Play -12.3% +0.6% 39%         On Base -0.8% -2.1% 31%         Hit -3.4% -1.6% 14%         Single -1.7% -1.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% -1.3% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years