Matchup Machine

Garrett Mitchell

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matchup for Carlos Rodon

35th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Carlos Rodon

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matchup for G. Mitchell

536th out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Extreme advantage for Rodon
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Model Prediction

Garrett Mitchell has a 26.3% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Rodon, which is 5.2% lower than Mitchell's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Rodon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.3%18.1%2.7%3.9%11.5%8.2%49.7%
Mitchell-5.2-2.4-0.3-0.8-1.3-2.9+16.3
Rodon-3.2-2.9-0.4-0.7-1.8-0.3+14.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Garrett Mitchell hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Carlos Rodon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Mitchell doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Rodon throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Garrett Mitchell hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
56%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Changeup (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

23.0% of Garrett Mitchell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.7% higher than the league average. Carlos Rodon strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +9.7% +5.4% 4%         Walk +2.9% +0.2% 49%         In Play -12.7% -5.6% 39%         On Base -0.9% -2.6% 31%         Hit -3.8% -2.8% 14%         Single -2.0% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -1.7% 3%         Home Run -0.1% +0.5%

History

Garrett Mitchell has 2 plate appearances against Carlos Rodon in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Groundout
2025-03-27Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.